Saturday, February 09, 2008

1800's first-class cricket in England: batsmen across eras

This is Part 7 in my series on first-class cricket in the 1800's in England.

1 - data
2 - classification of matches
3 - filling in the gaps
4 - bowlers
5 - batsmen
6 - bowlers across eras
7 - batsmen across eras
8 - all-rounders (across eras)
9 - wicket-keepers

In this post, I do a comparison of batsmen across eras, by weighting each innings by the strength of the bowling attack. The latter is taken as the "average average" of the bowlers in an innings, weighted by the number of balls bowled by each. (You can see the results for Test matches here.) The same effects (only now for batsmen) occur here as in the weighted bowling averages in Part 6 — batsmen are rewarded for scoring runs against better bowling attacks, and batsmen in low-scoring eras are rewarded because typically the bowlers will have correspondingly low averages.

For innings where the bowlers' overs are not recorded, I've instead used the overall batting average for that season. I couldn't see an easy way of getting an unbiased estimate of the bowling strength, when we don't know who bowled. Using the season average will in general inflate the modified batting average (since typically a batsman will score more heavily against weaker attacks, but using the season average counts that as the same as scoring against a strong attack). But for the players near the top of the tables below, this is not so likely — these batsmen tend to "rise to the occasion" and perform disproportionately better against stronger bowling attacks. Nevertheless, perhaps you might want to put a mental asterisk next to players whose careers included matches from before 1855.

Also, some of the bowling averages are estimates (even where we know the overs bowled), so some of the weighted averages should only be given to one decimal place. But I'm getting lazy.

It's interesting to see a graph of the season averages:



There's a lot of noise in the early years because not many first-class matches were played (sometimes only one). The lowest-scoring season was 1831, when the average of runs off the bat (that is, excluding extras) was just 7,35. You can have a look at the scorecards for that season here.

To start our comparisons of batsmen, we look at just the 1800's. I've given the weighted runs, regular average, and (once again) two weighted averages, one with respect to 16,6 (the overall average for the 1800's) and one with respect to 24,5 (the overall average from 1801 to 2007). One is just a scaling of the other. Qualification: 2000 runs.

wtd avg
name start end mat inns no runs wtd runs avg wrt 16,6 wrt 24,5
KS Ranjitsinhji 1893 1899 291 232 28 10411 8042,8 51,03 39,43 58,19
RM Poore 1898 1899 42 47 6 2277 1584,2 55,54 38,64 57,03
F Pilch 1820 1854 213 389 30 6797 13668,9 18,93 38,08 56,20
WG Grace 1865 1899 838 1250 89 46792 43431,9 40,30 37,41 55,21
Lord F Beauclerk 1801 1825 94 172 14 4319 5890,3 27,34 37,28 55,02
W Lambert 1801 1817 62 112 5 2961 3964,3 27,67 37,05 54,68
N Wanostrocht 1830 1852 134 242 12 4392 8027,7 19,10 34,90 51,51
CG Taylor 1836 1859 122 222 11 3020 7080,2 14,31 33,56 49,52
G Parr 1844 1870 187 321 26 6116 9137,6 20,73 30,97 45,72
EH Budd 1803 1831 68 119 9 2597 3381,4 23,61 30,74 45,37
CT Studd 1879 1884 85 145 23 3928 3702,8 32,20 30,35 44,80
A Shrewsbury 1875 1899 459 654 66 20837 17552,8 35,44 29,85 44,06
J Guy 1837 1854 136 244 11 3090 6723,5 13,26 28,86 42,59
AG Steel 1877 1895 142 227 21 6184 5826,0 30,02 28,28 41,74
W Ward 1810 1845 116 210 21 3517 5341,6 18,61 28,26 41,71
EG Wenman 1825 1854 135 241 15 3088 6382,4 13,66 28,24 41,68
CB Fry 1892 1899 381 209 8 7364 5597,2 36,64 27,85 41,10
R Robinson 1801 1819 57 111 9 2039 2811,1 19,99 27,56 40,68
TW Hayward 1893 1899 671 283 26 9558 7014,5 37,19 27,29 40,28
W Gunn 1880 1899 505 716 65 21520 17612,3 33,06 27,05 39,93

Ranji's high average wasn't just because batting was getting easier towards the end of the century — even allowing for that he still comes out on top. Once again, Robert Poore's lucky, since his career went downhill after he fought in the Boer War.

Fuller Pilch was described a few years after his retirement as the best batsman ever, and he kept this tag until WG Grace came along. From the little I've read about him, he seems to be the first man to consistently get his foot to the pitch of the ball. In an era where pitches were of very low quality, smothering any turn or uneven bounce was very important.

It's worth commenting on the discrepancy between the rankings in the table (i.e., Pilch ahead of Grace) and the opinion of the time (Grace ahead of Pilch). Grace was considered a better batsman than Pilch because he could play attacking shots off a wider range of deliveries. But since Grace's innovations to batting technique spread to the other cricketers of the time, he didn't stand out as much as Pilch — scoring for most batsman improved after Grace.

It is sad that Nicholas Felix is so called, since his actual surname was Wanostrocht. He wanted to be known as Felix, but Wanostrocht is such a cool name for a cricketer that I've gone against his wishes in these tables. In addition to being an excellent batsman in a low-scoring era, he also invented a type of bowling machine.

Now let's compare batsmen in England across all eras. I was unsure as to how useful this would be — we all know of batsmen who have excellent records in domestic cricket but do terribly in Tests. But weighting runs by the strength of the bowling attack does a pretty good job in discarding that breed of batsman. Of course, it also doesn't allow for players such as Marcus Trescothick, who have mediocre county records but respectable Test numbers. Players who played in the 1800's are in bold.

wtd avg
name start end mat inns no runs wtd runs avg wrt 16,6 wrt 24,5
DG Bradman 1930 1948 92 120 18 9837 6835,1 96,44 67,01 98,90
GA Headley 1933 1954 47 74 9 4460 2897,8 68,62 44,58 65,80
KS Ranjitsinhji 1893 1920 291 473 58 23341 17015,4 56,24 41,00 60,51
VM Merchant 1936 1946 49 81 15 4130 2517,8 62,58 38,15 56,30
F Pilch 1820 1854 213 389 30 6797 13668,9 18,93 38,08 56,20
WH Ponsford 1926 1934 67 86 12 4110 2812,8 55,54 38,01 56,10
WM Woodfull 1926 1934 72 87 9 4374 2956,3 56,08 37,90 55,94
NC O'Neill 1961 1964 44 71 8 3350 2379,6 53,17 37,77 55,75
AF Kippax 1930 1934 42 55 11 2412 1648,0 54,82 37,46 55,28
DR Martyn 1991 2005 30 44 11 2549 1231,1 77,24 37,31 55,06
Lord F Beauclerk 1801 1825 94 172 14 4319 5890,3 27,34 37,28 55,02
CB Fry 1892 1921 381 635 42 30490 22042,7 51,42 37,17 54,86
W Lambert 1801 1817 62 112 5 2961 3964,3 27,67 37,05 54,68
AR Morris 1948 1953 46 66 5 3224 2249,2 52,85 36,87 54,42
J Cook 1989 1991 71 124 19 7604 3863,8 72,42 36,80 54,31
RB Simpson 1961 1966 49 84 14 3702 2574,0 52,89 36,77 54,27
W Bardsley 1909 1926 126 175 17 7866 5603,0 49,78 35,46 52,34
MEK Hussey 2001 2005 60 105 13 6710 3253,5 72,93 35,36 52,19
SR Waugh 1987 2002 75 109 28 5290 2855,4 65,31 35,25 52,03
WR Hammond 1920 1951 515 828 88 40733 26039,2 55,04 35,19 51,93
WG Grace 1865 1908 838 1428 97 52043 46760,0 39,10 35,13 51,85
N Wanostrocht 1830 1852 134 242 12 4392 8027,7 19,10 34,90 51,51
SG Barnes 1938 1948 34 46 5 2074 1417,3 50,59 34,57 51,02
DS Lehmann 1991 2006 89 139 8 8894 4525,7 67,89 34,55 50,99
AL Hassett 1938 1953 73 100 11 4684 3063,3 52,63 34,42 50,80
CL Walcott 1950 1957 49 78 12 3271 2268,0 49,56 34,36 50,72
WM Lawry 1961 1968 65 105 12 4590 3182,2 49,35 34,22 50,50
G Boycott 1962 1986 492 814 127 38981 23425,2 56,74 34,10 50,33
JB Hobbs 1905 1934 740 1178 98 53843 36714,9 49,85 34,00 50,17
L Hutton 1934 1960 425 676 75 32306 20354,7 53,75 33,87 49,99

The top spot should be pretty uncontroversial. Vijay Merchant is at number four — he is perhaps not famous enough for having the second-highest first-class average of all time (71,64). Pilch slots in at five, followed by a string of Australians. You'll note that WG Grace fell significantly in the years between 1899 and his retirement in 1908. It's that old story of a player hanging on too long. Thirty-five years of first-class cricket and he still wanted another decade.

Beauclerk and Lambert, those all-round giants of the first quarter of the 19th century, just miss out on the top ten.

Jimmy Cook is perhaps the oddest name in the list. He was a South African who played most of his career during isolation in South Africa, but played three seasons with Somerset before retiring. He did get to play three Test matches.

Next up: all-rounders.

Comments:
I've come to this very late! But I really appreciate it; I haven't seen anyone do such a detailed analysis of players from *before* the Test era. In particular it nicely highlights the quality of Ranji, who I think is an under-remarked player by both England and India fans.

Something that I think would be worthwhile, particularly for assessing quality of certain players against each other, is to take smaller slices of their careers. Obviously this could be done for almost any player, but I think it would be particularly appropriate for Grace. As you yourself note he had a very long career, and judging him against Bradman, Ranji et al on the whole stretch of it is arguably to do a disservice to the batsman he was in his prime. I wonder how he would fare if the first 20-25 years of his career were taken in isolation (a healthy career by anyone's standards) and whether this might help to reaffirm his place in the batting pantheon.
 
Thanks Anon, it's nice to see a comment on an old post that isn't spam! I don't spend much time thinking about cricket stats these days, but fortunately I pre-empted your question about WG, and wrote a post on him here. In short: in his prime he was indeed far far above his contemporaries.
 
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